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Risk in units you can feel: one in a million

Risk in units you can feel: one in a million: everyday risks converted into a single comparable unit — the micromort, a one-in-a-million chance of dying —…

This launch guide maps the topic, the source base and the practical questions. Check the linked official authority before acting on a rule, deadline, price or safety requirement.

What this guide covers

Everyday risks converted into a single comparable unit — the micromort, a one-in-a-million chance of dying — with microlives for the chronic exposures where death is delayed rather than immediate. A page per activity shows the arithmetic rather than quoting a number: an ordinary day at your age, 100 km by car and by bicycle (with the offsetting benefit stated), a general anaesthetic, a scuba dive, a marathon, a flight, downhill skiing, a sauna session, each unit of alcohol, each cigarette.

All of it is recomputed from Estonian and Finnish mortality tables, which is what makes it locally correct rather than an imported chart. Sixteen pages and a comparison slider.

How to use it

Use Risk in units you can feel: one in a million as a structured learning path: begin with the vocabulary, follow the evidence map, and keep the uncertainty labels attached to claims as you compare sources.

The page keeps the main question, its evidence base and its limits together in one canonical place. That makes it useful as a quick orientation and avoids splitting a broad subject into shallow pages before each narrower answer has enough verified material of its own.

Search vocabulary in four languages

Terminology changes across borders. These are example phrases people use for the same subject in Estonian, Finnish, Russian and English; they are included as a practical vocabulary aid, not as hidden keywords.

Ways to describe this topic
LanguageExample phrase
Estoniankui ohtlik on autoga sõitmine statistika
Finnishkuinka vaarallista lentäminen on tilastojen mukaan
Russianриск смерти в повседневной жизни статистика
Englishmicromort chart everyday risks

Evidence and provenance

The evidence map below records the primary, official or openly licensed material chosen for this guide. It is deliberately visible so a reader can tell the difference between a rule published by an authority, a measured dataset and an editorial explanation.

Source: own computation from Statistics Estonia and Statistics Finland cause-of-death and transport tables plus Eurostat; the micromort and microlife concepts credited to Spiegelhalter's published work. · checked 2026-09-09

Source names are preserved even where an authority changes its web address. No figure is added to this launch page unless it is already present in the cited source description or can be computed from a named dataset.

Scope and boundaries

This guide owns the explanatory layer for the topic. Personal decisions, diagnoses, legal determinations and live availability remain with the relevant professional or official service.

Connected TempoLife guides

The following paths are the intentional hand-offs named in the brief. They keep adjacent subjects separate while making the next useful reference easy to find.

Risk

Continue to the related TempoLife reference.

Alcohol

Continue to the related TempoLife reference.

Why it belongs on TempoLife

/risk, /alcohol.

Frequently asked questions

What does this guide cover?

Everyday risks converted into a single comparable unit — the micromort, a one-in-a-million chance of dying — with microlives for the chronic exposures where death is delayed rather than immediate. A page per activity shows the arithmetic rather than quoting a number: an ordinary day at your age, 100 km by car and by bicycle (with the offsetting benefit stated), a general anaesthetic, a scuba dive, a marathon, a flight, downhill skiing, a sauna session, each unit of alcohol, each cigarette. All of it is recomputed…

What evidence does it use?

own computation from Statistics Estonia and Statistics Finland cause-of-death and transport tables plus Eurostat; the micromort and microlife concepts credited to Spiegelhalter's published work.

Where does this guide stop?

It explains the topic and points to primary or official sources. It does not replace a qualified professional, an official decision, or advice based on your own circumstances.

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